Tag Archives: price growth

Ontario markets lead Canada in Q2 price growth

Ontario markets lead Canada in Q2 price growth – Royal LePage

Latest News


Ontario markets lead Canada in Q2 price growth – Royal LePage

Once again proving their strength and resilience – even in the face of an ongoing pandemic – Ontario housing markets led Canada in price growth in the second quarter of 2020.

According to the Royal LePage House Price Survey and Market Survey Forecast, the aggregate price of a home in Canada increased 6.8 per cent year-over-year to $673,072 in the second quarter. Once provinces allowed regular real estate activity to resume, demand surged in many markets. Inventory levels, already constrained pre-pandemic, have failed to keep pace.

“Home prices shot up in the second quarter as a crush of buyers entered the market, attracted by extremely low interest rates and the perception of bargains to-be-had,” says Phil Soper, president and CEO of Royal LePage. “Across Ontario and Quebec, in particular, the demand for housing outpaced the growth in supply, especially in the early weeks post-lockdown. The surge in the number of first-time buyers was felt acutely, as these housing consumers soaked up supply without contributing to it.

Stable prices

“We are now seeing sellers return to the market in key supply-constrained regions in numbers sufficient to meet demand,” Soper adds. “Homebuyers should enjoy more reasonable conditions with stable prices and improved selection in the second half of the year.”

When broken out by housing type, the median price of a standard two-storey home in Canada rose 8.0 per cent year-over-year to $794,392, while the median price of a bungalow increased 3.9 per cent to $550,289. The median price of a condominium increased 5.3 per cent year-over-year to $503,983. Price data, which includes both resale and new build, is provided by Royal LePage’s sister company RPS Real Property Solutions.

“COVID-19 shaped the real estate market during the second quarter in every possible way,” says Soper. “As consumers and realtors complied with April’s shelter-at-home directives and only urgent housing needs were serviced, sales volumes plummeted to one-third of normal in our largest cities. As the reality of extended and potentially permanent work-from-home employment sunk in, people pondered both the location and size of their homes. Simply put, larger homes in smaller communities have become more fashionable. As competition for these properties heats up, bidding wars are more common in what were our quieter cities and towns.”

Greater Toronto Area

Pent-up demand coupled with a lack of supply in the GTA resulted in significant price appreciation in the second quarter, with the aggregate median price increasing 10 per cent year-over-year to $899,001. When broken down by housing type, the median price of a standard two-storey home increased 10.7 per cent year-over-year to $1.05 million; bungalows rose 6.4 per cent to $852,260; and condominiums increased 9.3 per cent to $599,235.

“Prior to the market disruption caused by the pandemic, the GTA was on track for doubledigit price growth in 2020,” says Kevin Somers, chief operating officer, Royal LePage Real Estate Services Ltd. “While the first half of the second quarter saw market activity severely curtailed, as soon as the market woke up in late May, sales quickly accelerated. However, with listings not keeping pace and buyer competition high, we are again seeing double-digit price appreciation in the region.”

Royal LePage is forecasting that the aggregate price of a home in the GTA will increase four per cent to $882,000 in the fourth quarter of 2020 compared to the same quarter last year.

“While buyer demand outstripping inventory has been typical of the Toronto market, the return of buyers before sellers in the second half of the quarter amplified price growth, says Somers. “Sellers are now returning, and while buyers should not expect bargains, they may find the second half of the year more reasonable for inventory and price appreciation.”

RELATED READING

Toronto and Canada to lead global markets in post-COVID-19 real estate recovery – ReMax

Toronto still one of the fastest growing cities in North America – even with the impact of COVID-19

Canadian, GTA markets to show resilience through COVID-19: Royal LePage

 


SHARE  

Featured Products


GTA new home sales

GTA new home sales in July remain strong

Latest News


GTA new home sales in July remain strong

GTA new home sales

It was a busy month by July standards, as sales for both condos and single-family homes were up year-over-year, according to the latest statistics from the Building Industry and Land Development Association (BILD).

There were 566 new single-family homes, including detached, linked and semi-detached houses and townhouses, sold in July, according to Altus Group, BILD’s official source for new home market intelligence. Although sales increased 136 per cent from last July, they were 29 per cent below the 10-year average.

Sales of new condominium apartments in low-, medium- and highrise buildings, stacked townhouses and loft units, with 2,297 units sold, were up 22 per cent from July 2018 and 42 per cent above the 10-year average.

Brisk openings

“Typically, buyers take a bit of a vacation from the new condo apartment market in July” says Patricia Arsenault, Altus Group’s executive vice-president, Data Solutions. “This year was no different, although the decline in sales was less pronounced than usual, resulting in the second strongest July on record. While few new projects launched in July, sales at projects opened in June were brisk.”

The benchmark price of new condominium apartments increased from last month, to $838,824, up 8.3 per cent over the last 12 months. The benchmark price of new single-family homes decreased slightly from last month, to $1.09 million, down 4.5 per cent over the last 12 months, continuing its moderating trend in 2019.

ALSO READ: Detached home sales and prices roar back to life in first half of 2019 – ReMax

Strong July sales, paired with traditional fewer summer openings, saw inventory decrease in July to 12,873 condominium units and 4,409 single-family homes. Remaining inventory includes units in preconstruction projects, in projects currently under construction and in completed buildings.

Total new home sales in the first seven months of 2019, at 20,268 units sold, are up 45 per cent from the same period in 2018 and nine per cent below the 10-year average.

Price gap narrows

“The price gap between single-family homes and condos continues to shrink, leaving new-home buyers with a lack of choice,” says David Wilkes, BILD president and CEO. “We must provide more ‘missing middle’ type development that can support transit in established neighbourhoods. More ‘gentle density’ housing in the form of midrise buildings, condos with street level retail, and stacked townhouses is needed to give consumers more choice.”

 

New home sales by municipality, July 2019

Municipality Condominium units Single-family homes Total
Region 2019 2018 2017 2019 2018 2017 2019 2018 2017
Durham 29 6 27 118 44 60 147 50 87
Halton 59 46 18 82 25 18 141 71 36
Peel 415 150 148 142 87 0 557 237 148
Toronto 1,522 1,557 1,118 46 8 6 1,568 1,565 1,124
York 272 120 461 178 76 34 450 196 495
GTA 2,297 1,879 1,772 566 240 118 2,863 2,119 1,890

Source: Altus Group

RELATED READING

What Bill 108 means for housing affordability in the GTA

Behind the numbers : The GTA housing market in June 2019

Examining the GTA affordable homeownership crisis

 

SHARE  

Featured Products


GTA resale condo listings and sales dip to end 2018, but prices rise

Latest News


GTA resale condo listings and sales dip to end 2018, but prices rise

GTA Condos

GTA condominium sales declined 9.9 per cent to 5,191 in the fourth quarter of 2018, compared to the last quarter of 2017, according to the latest statistics from the Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB).

New condo listings entered into TREB’s MLS System were down by more than sales on a year-over-year basis – dropping 11.2 per cent to 7,272 in Q4 2018 from 8,186 in Q4 2017.  his points to tighter market conditions at the end of 2018 compared to late 2017.

Price growth leader

“The condominium apartment segment was the best-performing segment in terms of annual average rates of price growth in 2018,” says TREB President Garry Bhaura. “Condos represent a relatively affordable housing option. With a substantial decrease in listings in 2018, competition between intending buyers remained strong.  This supported average price growth well-above the rate of inflation and annual rates of price growth reported for other ground-oriented home types.”

The average price of a condo unit increased by 8.3 per cent to $558,728 in Q4 2018 from $516,086 in Q4 2017. Year-over-year price growth in the city of Toronto, which accounted for 72 per cent of transactions, was slightly higher at 8.9 per cent, resulting in an average price of $598,664.

Lack of supply

“The condominium apartment segment continued to be a key entry point into the GTA home ownership market in 2018,” says Jason Mercer, TREB’s director of market analysis. “Higher mortgage qualification standards meant that many first-time buyers were looking for more affordable housing options.  Moving forward, the concern is that a continued lack of listings supply, despite relatively strong new condo completions as of late, will hamper the ability of potential home buyers to meet their housing needs.”

 

Condo market summary

Fourth quarter 2018
2018 2017
Sales Average Price Sales Average Price
Total TREB 5,191 $558,728 5,760 $516,086
Halton Region 222 $510,946 202 $461,200
Peel Region 654 $424,860 767 $389,446
City of Toronto 3,728 $598,664 4,188 $549,927
York Region 453 $498,198 482 $481,307
Durham Region 117 $383,872 108 $381,893
Other Areas 17 $391,265 13 $343,069
Source: Toronto Real Estate Board

 

RELATED READING

GTA condos lead resale price growth in 2018

GTA among the most promising new home outlooks for 2019, Altus Group says

Condo Life Feb 2019

 

SHARE  

Featured Products


GTA condos lead resale price growth in 2018

Latest News


GTA condos lead resale price growth in 2018

GTA Condos

Multi-family homes – namely townhomes and condos – led the way in price growth among resale homes in the GTA in 2018, according to the latest statistics from the Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB).

Overall, the average selling price for the year was $787,300, down 4.3 per cent, while sales declined 16.1 per cent from 2017.

Home prices were up slightly in the city of Toronto and down in the surrounding GTA regions. This dichotomy reflects the fact that the condominium segment, which accounted for a large proportion of sales, performed better from a pricing perspective than detached homes. The average price for condominium sales across the TREB market area was up by 7.8 per cent year-over-year.

Higher borrowing costs

“Higher borrowing costs coupled with the new mortgage stress test certainly prompted some households to temporarily move to the sidelines to reassess their housing options,” says Garry Bhaura, TREB president. “It is important to note that market conditions were improved in the second half of the year, both from a sales and pricing standpoint.”

“After spiking in 2017, new listings receded markedly in 2018,” adds Jason Mercer, TREB’s director of Market Analysis and Service Channels. “In many neighbourhoods, despite fewer sales from a historic perspective, some buyers still struggled to find a home meeting their needs.  The result was a resumption of a moderate year-over-year pace of home price growth in the second half of the year.  Price growth was strongest for less-expensive home types, as many home buyers sought more affordable home ownership options.”

Outlook Report

TREB will be releasing its fourth annual Market Year-in-Review and Outlook Report on Feb 6, featuring the latest results from the Ipsos surveys of existing homeowners and intending homebuyers.  The report will also contain information on the new home market and other analyses.

 

GTA average prices by home type, yr/yr % change

Condominiums
416:
$594,381, 11.4%
905:
$454,135, 5.8%
Total:
$554,497, 9.9%

Townhomes
416
: $714,456, 10%
905: $591,851, 2.9%
Total: $624,042, 5.3%

Semi-detached
416
: $939,859, 4%
905: $661, 186, 3.9%
Total: $755,707, 3.2%

Detached
416
: $1.14 million, -8%
905: $891,095, -2.2%
Total: $945,580, -4.4%

 

RELATED READING

GTA home prices continue to rise

GTA new home market back to typical sales and openings levels in November

GTA moving into balanced market for 2019

Canada’s most and least expensive places to buy – and guess where Toronto is

 

SHARE  

Featured Products